patterns

This, based on my research, is the kind of chart that represents a fast profit opportunity. It doesn't represent the fastest kind of opportunity, but it's typical of fast type opportunities. I'm talking about right now, the end of October, 2014, at a price of $7.28. Back at the end of 2013, it also represented - even more emblematically - a fast type opportunity, and now, ten months later, it's up more than 5 times. It might have been a lot of work to find it, back in 2013, but today I found it by running a scan, at the Finviz screener, for stocks up more than 500% from their 52 week low. I didn't expect to find anything to buy - I was looking for examples of things that would have been good to buy a year ago - but the first stock on the list (there were a half dozen - it's a selective scan) - has a quite good chart.
Thinking about buying this? The financial number - revenues, earnings - say it's worthless, and you shouldn't ignore that. Don't buy a lot. Maybe put in 1% of your investment money. That's my disclaimer, and it's important. But the chart has a lot of positives, today, and the next price targets are 18, 40, and 59. Do you see them in the chart? It will probably go to 59 in waves, over, oh, I'd say, a one year period. Any of those targets would be good places to take profits or exit the position.

One year ago, this stock was fairly emblematic (quite emblematic? truly emblematic? just emblematic?) of a fast  type opportunity. Opportunities of that type are tricky. It's definitely possible for that kind of stock to become worthless. Assessing whether it will or not is tricky, at best. Definitely do not put a lot of your money in any stock of that type. If you bet on some of these and loose, you just have to treat it as a learning opportunity. What did you miss in the chart? Or in the fundamentals? You'll be more motivated to figure that out. Sales and earnings don't justify a purchase. Was there something in the balance sheet to compensate for that? Was there something in the company profile, or the management profile, to compensate for that, to justify the expectation of a rebound in price on the market? You did read the latest 10k, didn't you? What about the most recent prospectus? (I haven't, but I know I'm taking a risk. I also haven't yet bought the stock. I'm still thinking it over. I'm still thinking over whether I want to put something like 10% of my cash in this. $200? If I sell it at $18, let's say two months from now, it's a double. I'd like to more than double my money in that amount of time. But, I am looking at this fun chart, right now, and finding these is a chore, somewhat, so, I'm thinking about it. From reading this, from looking at this chart, you should be able to assess the upside potential in similar charts. Be careful, but, Explore the realm!)

To broaden your base of knowledge, read some of the books listed below. Or (or rather, AND), read this letter, from this web page, from this web site. Enjoy!

I started the day thinking hard about how to create a product and then get payed for having done so. If you'd like, you can read more about that in the previous post, which I named "index", but I'm going to rename it it index20141028tu, because this blog might end up having lots of index posts. (In index20141028tu I somewhat discuss the reasons for that.) I've been thinking about how to deliver a product and get payed for doing so for, really, a long time, and I've yet to accomplish it. But I feel more determined than ever, and maybe that's a good sign. Going back a little further in the history of this post, I've been discussing things, in a manner of speaking, with people, on a Facebook page where people discuss things quite a bit (which I was fortunate to discover - even though the discussion, there, is fairly annoying - despite which I would say, based on the experience, that discussion is quite valuable, that the opportunity to discuss things with people is valuable). I wrote about my idea that creating a company is a good thing to do. I sort of meant starting a business, as much as creating a company, but, anyway, I got all sorts of warnings that I was setting myself up for all sorts of trouble. Based on that I'm thinking about, as a topic, low risk business ideas. (And, going back to the question of investing in stocks, is that, can it be, low risk? Well, I told you, don't put a lot of money in some crazy stock. If you put in a little, and it turns out to be crazy in a good way, you'll actually make money.) Anyway, all I am risking here is a day of work. I mean, maybe I'll get in a heap of trouble by writing this stuff, but, I kind of doubt it. The question that remains is, how do I get payed for having done it? So, going with that, I suppose I could make it into a subscription kind of thing, but, for REASONS, I don't want to. (One reason is so you can just read it.)

So the obvious answer is, I need to put some kind of advertising on the page, here. (I discussed the here and there of that somewhat in the index post just referenced.) If you buy something, thank you!

index

How to use Blogger effectively.

What does this mean? What is effective use of something?

This particular something is a publishing tool, with fantastic abilities, and its share of quirks.

Among its amazing abilities: you can publish something - it becomes available to an audience of millions, all those people could (not that they necessarily will, but they could) instantly get and read your publication. And your publication will be elegant and beautiful. Whether it's interesting is up to you.

What is effective use of the opportunity to publish? When you're answering your own questions, you have to go with what your mind gives you, in the way of answers, and my mind is saying "that's scary." Dealing with that is part of making your blogging effective, somehow. If your blog is really good, really useful for readers (really entertaining would be nice) ... that would solve an assortment of problems.

Making money should qualify as effective use. It seems I could put AdSense ads in my blog. That presents itself as the most direct way to make money on Blogger. Then I'd have to get lots of readers. Again, scary. And I've felt like AdSense wasn't working, like I wasn't actually getting payed. In other words, I had problems with the technology. I couldn't figure it out (years ago, when I gave it a shot).

Another very accessible way to make money blogging is with Amazon Associates ads. I know I can put those ads in a blog, which is cool, because I do like them. Probably, if enough people clicked, I could get payed, although I've gotten funny unresponsive responses from PayPal, so, there are technical issues that I still might need to deal with, and that's annoying.

Also, if I put a bunch of Amazon ads in the middle of my serious discussions of various topics, it might look, well, less serious. This highlights an issue with blogs: blogging makes it easy to create a giant mass of material, but that giant mass of material is not something readers are going to be able to easily navigate, I know people have had success just diarizing, meaning, they got big audiences of people who check every day for the latest post. I have a hard time wrapping my head around that concept. I kind of want people to come to my blog and navigate into the giant mass of material in it, with control. I've taken a small step, here, by creating an index post. It's problematic, though. If I add more posts, people will have to go from post to post to find the index. Should I move the index to the last post every time I add a post? Should I put a copy of the index at the top or bottom of every post? Obviously, these are things to think over. (I've set the blog to show just one post at a time. That kind of means I'm saying "the main way to navigate this blog is the index post ... although, you can put a link list in the sidebar. That a favorite feature!)

There is also, I think, a whole realm of effective usage that has little or nothing with the fact that you are (potentially) publishing to a large audience. Blogger is a great tool for writing because it produces a beautiful product. If your purpose is just writing for yourself, you get a nice looking product. You get an amazing product, because you can put in all sorts of colors, and pictures, with your writing, if that suits you. And the product is magical, in a sense, because you can change things, after you've created them.

But, is writing for yourself effective? My theory is, yes, it can be. At a certain level, it just is. But this seems something for a post of its own. Here's a question: will I come back to this index myself? Will it help me develop my blog? It's become maybe somewhat cumbersome, because I've written so much. We'll see.

events

tim's

esi
ITT Educational Services Inc



vsr
Versar Inc




dgly
Digital Ally Inc




vimc
Vimicro International Corp




gimo
Gigamon Inc



mxwl
Maxwell Technologies Inc



rubi
The Rubicon Project Inc



infn
Infinera Corp



jakk
JAKKS Pacific Inc



apt
Alpha Pro Tech Ltd



lake
Lakeland Industries Inc



ibio
Ibio Inc




voil
Virtus Oil and Gas Corp
"blatant pump" tim sykes 10-23-2014



logi
Logitech International SA



awre
Aware Inc


yod
YOU On Demand Holdings Inc


ifan
IFAN Financial Inc


sopw
Solar Power Inc

c

watch

clip-air

reading

http://www.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=avp&ty=c&ta=0&p=d
from there to
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/stay-away-avon-211731095.html
that wasn't extremely helpful. i have my own opinion.
from there, though, to
http://www.gurufocus.com/news/220155/how-to-construct-peter-lynchs-valuation-charts-with-gurufocus-financials-charts-in-two-clicks
it's a freebee from a pay site. i haven't payed for investment advice in year - unless you count buying a copy of The Intelligent Investor. but, freebees can be interesting. investing is a good place to find fun things to read for free! as a matter of fact, i see you can read endless articles at finance.yahoo.
anyway, a link at the above article takes me to this
http://finance.yahoo.com/tumblr/photoset-3-reasons-why-stocks-could-mint-a-shiny-fourth-111024888.html
which i'm happy to know about
and a link there takes me to
http://finance.yahoo.com/tumblr/blog-ftd-ignore-the-p-e-its-cheap-125015366.htmlhttp://finance.yahoo.com/tumblr/blog-ftd-ignore-the-p-e-its-cheap-125015366.html
the ftd chart tells me nothing, so i'm not much interested, but, hey, be informed
here's a link "how to calculate the intrinsic value of stocks"
could be useful

i'm removing AVP from my buy list. long term, it's a good pattern, but that's not what i'm looking for.

thoughts

According to the Church of Religious Science, your life conforms to what you think. It takes the shape of what you think. So, if you think something like "something's missing in my life", a thought I pretty much continuously have, if what the church says is true, it's because I often think that way that something is missing in my life, and if I continuously think "my life is perfect and complete", that will be the case.

It's very normal for thoughts to just come and go in our minds, and the appearance of it is we don't have much control over that. But we can control our thoughts. It's easy to deliberately think a thought. If I want to think the thought "my life is perfect and complete", I can do that. All I need to do is mentally say those words, and I've thought that thought.

But thoughts do come and go on their own. I do often think, out of habit, I guess, "something's missing", or, "I want to accomplish that thing, but I'm unlikely to do it." I've been thinking about what to write about this, and I had the thought that maybe I shouldn't write that I had a thought like "something's missing." Writing that I had that thought, I have to write the thought, and when I write a thought, I think it. Maybe in my writing I should just write pure fantasy, in which every thought I record represents something I do want in my life. It's an interesting thought.

Still, I have thoughts that describe things I wish weren't part of my life, and just trying to deny that, trying to stop those thought completely (one way to put it), not reporting that I have such thought, since I'm writing, since I'm reporting, sounds, oh, questionable. I'm reminded that another part of my philosophy, a personal rule, for me, a principle which I rather trust, warns against trying to kill bad things. There's a place for killing. I don't know a lot of people who don't eat, and to eat, we pretty much always kill something. I think it's extreme to say we're doing a bad thing when we kill something to eat it. The problem with killing things because we think they're bad is, it means we're being hateful. What if we could take something like, say, a cancer, and, instead of trying to kill it, soothe it, basically by loving it. What is this thing, love? It's like x-ray vision. We're looking into something, or some one, and seeing its feelings. The cancer is, perhaps, lonely. The cells in it are lonely. Nobody cares about them, and nobody loves them. If the cancer's causing you problems, look into it, with your feelings, look at the cells in it, with your feelings, and say something soothing to them, like "I do care about you, I do think you have a right to live, I'm trying to understand your needs, and I'm not going to attack you." I suspect that's a good way to approach things.

So, if I have thoughts that seem "off", and I think it's relevant to my writing - talking about that - I think I'll just go ahead and report those thoughts. I mean, it could be argued they are trying to alert me to something. They are independent parts of my mind, perhaps a bit panicky, perhaps a bit immature, childish, but they are concerned. It's probably a good idea to pay attention.

What came to me this morning, a few minutes ago, thinking about this, was, I can report a thought, if I want, and then change it. I reported feeling like something's missing, and I changed the thought to "it's complete", and thought that. I wonder what would happen if I thought "it's complete" over and over.